Trump INVITES Democrat Landslides in 2026 

President Trump will see everything he has accomplished go into the proverbial dustbin unless does he at least two things:

 

First, the President has to stop kissing Putin’s ass and join the 56% of Republicans who support helping Ukraine. Otherwise, many of those Republicans will sit on their hands in 2026 and possibly 2028.

 

More specifically, the United States should give Ukraine what it needs to liberate Crimea. Crime is subject to isolation and reduction. Crimea is the key to a Ukrainian victory. Crimean Liberation should have been number one on President Trump’s foreign policy task list. If Ukraine retakes Crimea, Vladimir Putin very well might “decide” to jump out of a Kremlin top floor window. A lot of high-ranking Russians have jumped out of windows since the full scale Invasion of Ukraine in 2022.

 

American aid should start with sending Ukraine Rapid Dragon, including a number of C-130 transports and probably five-hundred obsolescent JASSM-A missiles (of 4,000 built), a reasonable quantity of anti-radar missiles, called HARMs, and whatever else it takes.

 

Second, The Republican National Committee and the President need to flood major media with the accomplishments of the Trump Administration. Running a few short ads on YouTube and FoxNews won’t get the job done. The President should hold ten or more rallies to report to those who voted for him the specifics of what he has done [without using any form of the term GREAT] and what the democrats have blocked. The GOP cannot rely on mainstream media to tell the story.

[Ha! President Trump is going on the stump the week of December seventh.]

 

And of course, China must not get the notion that Donald Trump is an all-talk, no-action PAPER TIGER. That could lead to a Taiwan invasion followed by an unprecedented economic collapse.

President Trump is Flirting with World War Three, Economic Disaster, or Both

In five years, “Donald Trump” will have become a swear word IF he forces Ukraine into a Munich-style capitulation to Putin! That act can easily lead the world into a deeper and more persistent depression than 1929 and into the Third World War!

 

The President has already sewn dangerous seeds of World War III by cutting aid to Taiwan—For What! A slightly better China “trade deal”. After his virtual abandonment of NATO, Xi Jinping will likely view a Munich-style Ukrainian capitulation as °assurance° that the United States will do nothing to help Taiwan while either Donald Trump or JD Vance sits in the Oval Office.

 

The President justified turning America’s back on NATO with exactly the same, stupid, head-in-the sand argument as the isolationists of the 1930s: “We have a big, beautiful ocean between us and Europe.” Well, we don’t have a big beautiful ocean between us and China!

 

The United States Economy cannot function without chips from Taiwan!

 

Unless Taiwan quickly repels any invasion on its own, and without damage to its chipmaking factories, then one of these things is likely to follow:

·      China will attack Taiwanese chip factories:

o   Out of the hope that doing so will bring it victory

o   Because their efforts to take those factories by force results in their destruction in the “ordinary course” of urban warfare

o   Out of spite

 

·      The Government of Taiwan itself will destroy the chip factories rather than let the Red Chinese take them

 

Any of the foregoing actions will plunge the world into an unmanageable depression. IfAmerican factories cannot produce products, then thegovernment cannot buy goods from those same idle factories. Workers will remain unemployed. Incidentally, it will take months to br move chip production into the United States or other nations. The President recently demanded that Taiwan transfer some chip manufacturing to United States. Taiwan refused, followed by President Trump canceling between $400 billion and $680 Billion dollars in Taiwan military aid and sending the aforementioned “GO!” signal to Communist China.

 

While awaiting chips from alternate sources, myriad enterprises will fail; and a vast number of new chips will later arrive only to sit in warehouses with no customers.

 

Only the memory of Neville Chamberlain will profit from forcing Ukraine to submit to Russia. He will then become the “Donald Trump of the 20th Century.” President Trump will become the Epitome of Appeasement and a hated man.

Zelenskyy’s Secret Weapon Request

I don’t know what Ukrainian President Zelenskyy asked for when he spoke to President Trump, as discussed on “The Axios Show”, and cited by Preston Stewart on YouTube as “Zelenskyy’s Secret Weapon”. Regardless, I  believe that Rapid Dragon, a combination of JASSM-A Missiles and C-130 Transports, could bring Putin to the table, or to defeat and ruin, in a few months. I looked up the area and roughly estimated the dimensions of Crimea after viewing the linked video. Barring calculation errors, most of the Crimean peninsula falls well within the published “greater than or equal” range of the °largely obsolescent° JASSM-A. 

The United States has only about 4000 JASSM-A missiles lying in storage waiting to degrade into unusable garbage. So, their current value should fall considerably below the approximately one million pre-Biden dollars initially paid for each one. 

(JASSM counts, ranges, and costs from Wikipedia)

C-130s possibly could come from the Ready Reserve at the Davis-Montham AFB Bone Yard. If the Bone Yard Ready Reserve falls short of the ten to twenty C-130s estimated as needed,  accelerated retirements of the oldest C-130s scheduled for upgrade or retirement should fill-the-Bill—that could include C-130s slated for replacement by our allies.

Based on public information about Rapid Dragon, and the generalship demonstrated by Ukraine, it would seem likely that 120 JASSMs could keep the Kerch Bridge System closed as long as needed, especially if the United States, Europe, or both provide Ukraine weapons able to target repair crews and equipment with cluster munitions. The Kerch Bridge System once carried virtually all the supplies from Russia to Crimea. Now, a great deal flows in via vulnerable rail lines.

When Ukraine targets the Bridge, additional JASSM-As would simultaneously begin systematically destroying known fuel and ammunition depots in Crimea. Without sufficient ammunition and fuel, troops on the peninsula would have few options except surrender. The loss of the peninsula could in turn bring down Putin. 

Assuming all the foregoing all happens, the United States needs a means to manage the “Fall of Putin.” That is a topic for another blog post.

 

Thus, the effective use of JASSMs by Ukraine could very well return Crimea to Ukraine and likely end the war.

In other news, if JASSMs did force a mass surrender of Soviet forces in Crimea, Xi Jinping might very well “postpone” his plans to invade Taiwan; adding further support to the observation of Justin Bronk that, “It is cheaper to deter a war than to win a war.” A thought for cost conscious President Trump. 

Final Offer: Unconditional Surrender

 President Trump’s “Final Offer” to Ukraine amounts to an unconditional surrender!

 

I voted for Donald Trump. I got Neville Chamberlain! 

Despite my ardent support for President Trump on all other issues, if he forces Ukraine to surrender to Putin, I will be through with Donald Trump. And, I am not alone.

 

The President can do little else more 

to bring on World War III than forcing Ukraine to surrender to Putin. Does he really believe that simply because he, Donald Trump, makes a deal with Putin the war will not resume as soon as a new President takes office?

 

Does not President Trump understand the incentive that cow towing to Putin will present to China, North Korea, and others!

 

Before the election I was sure that President Trump’s “one phone call” would be an ultimatum to Putin. “Leave Ukraine or face humiliation the battlefield.” Instead, President Trump seems at once cowed 

and seduced by Putin and his minions. The President’s naïveté about Putin utterly astounds and disappoints me.

Munich II: Churchill or Chamberlain?

How ironic that President Trump plans to talk peace in Munich 87 years after Neville Chamberlain caved in to Hitler in that very city! President Trump will forever bear the moniker of “The Neville Chamberlain of the 21st Century” if he forces Ukraine to cede Vladimir Putin any significant territory, especially Crimea.

 

Negotiations need to end with President Trump “suggesting” that Putin “declare victory and completely leave Ukraine” or risk a humiliating defeat of the Red Army. The war in Ukraine will only end with a Victory —either Ukrainian or Russian. Putin will violate any deal he signs at Munich as soon as he feels able to take over Ukraine—or perhaps when another Biden or Obama wins the White House, whichever happens first.

 

President Trump needs to recognize that, as in all deals, international “deals” only work with trustworthy partners. Putin did not keep his word in the 2014 “Budapest Memorandum” and he will not keep it now. Giving Putin an appreciable piece of Ukraine will ultimately lead to Russia’s total conquest of that nation.

 

Neville Chamberlain only gave Hitler the German Speaking part of Czechoslovakia. One year later, the most horrific war in human history was a few days short of a month old. Vladimir Putin used essentially the same claim as Hitler, mistreating Russian speakers, to justify invading the Don Bas region of Ukraine in 2014—Twenty years after Russia, Great Britain, and the United States “assured” the security of Ukraine and its then current boundaries — including Don Bas — in the empty Budapest Memorandum.  

 

The President seems to believe that Russia will forever honor a deal simply because he (President Trump) negotiated it! Has the President forgotten Biden’s departure from Afghanistan? Putin has already broken one “deal” over Ukraine; and he will rule Russia long after President Trump leaves office. How can Presidentp Trump be so naïve about the utter duplicity of Vladimir Putin.

 

Possible Consequences of Munich II: A Russian diplomatic victory in Ukraine could easily trigger other wars. More people than presidents Trump, Putin, and NATO leaders have an eye on the outcome of Munich II. A Chamberlain-like outcome could:

·      Significantly increase the chances of China invading Taiwan

·      Entice Russia to “snap up” Kazakhstan; a Putin crony reportedly said that “Kazakhstan is next” months ago

·      Lead to Turkey, a NATO ally, attempting to annex the Kurdish territories of Syria, Iraq, and even Iran — of late, Turkey seems to have this plan well underway

·      Convince Russia to attempt a rapid advance into the Baltic states (Latvia, Estonia, Lithuania) thinking the United States will not respond to a fast takeover — as J.D. Vance in particular seems resigned to allowing the conquest of parts of neighbors via a “fait accompli”

·      Other bad consequences could flow from a bad Munich II.

 

Comments Welcome

 

DJ

Addendum:  The Treaty Putin personally sighted was the “Treaty on the Russian-Ukrainian Border” of 2003. Thus, Putin broke two agreements, one of which he signed as President of Russia.—Thank you Operator Starsky.

Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Treaty_on_the_Russian%E2%80%93Ukrainian_border

Retrieved 2/15/2025

DJ

Ukraine Should Attack Logistics with It’s Coming AI Drones

Ukraine should use AI controlled drones to attack Soviet logistics before using them against immediate battlefield targets. Targets should include railroad engines, specific rail car types, rail support systems, and rail facilities. Equipping some drones with infrared detectors can significantly increase the overall effectiveness these weapon systems will have. It will be easier and more lucrative to train drones to attack trains than other targets. 

 

A theoretical mission plan might go like this:

·      Define a target area and perhaps an evasive approach strategy — A specific length of track

·      Define rail and road priorities: engines, tank cars, rolling-stock, fuel trucks, other trucks 

·      Specify a fixed target if the drone does not find a priority target; a specific switch for example

 

Recently, Paul of Combatvetnews.com (sorry, the link does not work from here; please copy and paste) and YouTube posted two videos about the advanced state of development by Ukraine of AI Drones. Reuters recently reported on Ukrainian AI Drones (https://www.reuters.com/technology/artificial-intelligence/ukraine-rushes-create-ai-enabled-war-drones-2024-07-18/ ) as well. Both sources noted that AI drones can learn to attack without having radio contact with an operator. That eliminates the ability to disrupt drones with current jammers. Importantly, both sources stated concerns about attacking either friendly targets or civilian targets. Attacking distant logistical targets significantly mitigates both issues.

A case can exists for Ukraine to legally attack any truck or train on the on the Kerch Bridge System. If necessary, Ukraine can declare any traffic on the Kerch Truck Bridge System as a military target. OK. Teach the drones not to attack school buses. In addition, drones can safely attack trains, military trucks, and even “civilian” trucks in specific locations other than the Kerch Bridge System, such as deep in enemy-held Zaporizhzhia. The targets summarized here carry almost no risk of violating international law; and they constitute extremely “High Value Targets”—much more valuable than pecking away at individual tanks on battlefields. Imagine the impact of destroying, or better, derailing an engine on the Kerch Bridge. That could disrupt traffic for days.

 

Reports from Ukraine often mention the higher dependence the Russian armed forces place on trains versus trucks for logistical support than do NATO nations. During the Second World War, trains and trucks were high priority targets for fighter planes returning from escort missions and those on “fighter sweeps”.  They can prove equally valuable today in Ukraine.

 

As. I see it, Ukraine should Prioritize: 

·      Any vehicle bigger than a car on the Kerch Bridge—except school buses of course

·      Train engines

·      Rail Tank cars

·      Other rolling stock

·      Rail facilities and support equipment; examples: switches, round houses, and anything in between

·      Other targets: Trucks on roads, especially fuel trucks

 

The Kerch “Bridge” 

Normally referenced in the singular, the system consists of two adjacent bridges: a truck bridge and a railroad bridge. I do not know how many tracks the rail bridge has.

 

Conclusion

A strategy of attacking logistical targets with AI drones could hasten the expulsion of Soviet troops from Ukraine while minimizing the risk of violating any international laws.

Only One Party Can Bring Peace to, and End the Suffering, in Gaza

If Vice-President Harris, as President Biden before her, really wanted to end the suffering and fighting in Gaza, they would demand that Hamas lay down its arms and surrender unconditionally. Nothing else can end the fighting and suffering. Hamas uses the suffering of its people as a weapon and a strategy. Thus, do not expect Hamas to do anything to reduce that suffering, much less surrender; or, for that matter, for the Biden-Harris Administration to call for Hamas to do anything.

 

Calling on Israel to cease fire is worse than useless; it would guarantee continued war. Hamas has already promised 10,000 more October Sevenths. Hamas broke a long-standing cease fire when it attacked Israel. Another cease fire will only allow Hamas to reorganize, recruit, rearm, and unleash further carnage on Israel and Gaza.

 

The Administration has actions available to pressure Hamas and blunt the impact of its propaganda. Every week, the Administration should:

·      Issue a U.S. intelligence estimate of the total casualties in Gaza broken down by militants and civilians with the corresponding Hamas claims next to our figures. I suspect that U.S. Intelligence has a finger on the real numbers.

·      Point out that the Gaza Ministry of Health is really the Hamas Ministry of Health; that civilian casualty figures from the Ministry of Health are Hamas figures; and therefore suspect — Israel contends that the numbers include every soldier of Hamas and its allies killed or wounded.

·      Remind the world that, as mentioned in the first paragraph, Hamas has promised to repeat October Seventh over and over; and that Hamas broke a long-standing cease fire agreement on that day.

 

Again, only Hamas can end the suffering of the people of Gaza. The Administration should prove its sincerety by calling on Hamas, not Israel, to stand down. That is, if the Administration really wants to end the suffering in Gaza.